Written by Grant G
I know many of you have been fretting over the polls, time to put your minds at ease.....Let`s talk election 2013 riding results as predicted by yours truly .....The Powell River Persuader.
David Schreck has been keeping a brave face, he has however continued to claim the election is razor thin, classic electioneering, never come across to cocky even when you know..
4 polls released today(so far) with Angus Reid releasing his last pre-election poll on CTV at 6:00 p.m....
http://bc.ctvnews.ca/b-c-ndp-widens-lead-days-before-election-poll-1.1276886
Angus Reid is reporting NDP at 45%...Libs 36%...Link to come
We have an Ipsos Reid poll...NDP 43%..Libs 37%
http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=6111
Forum poll....BC NDP 43%...Libs 41%
http://news.nationalpost.com/2013/05/10/b-c-election-poll/
Hill + Knowlton poll..BC NDP 41%...Libs 34%
http://hkstrategies.ca/wp-content/uploads/BC-Perspectives-Panel.pdf
Justason poll....BC NDP 45%....Libs 31%
http://www.justasonmi.com/?p=3502
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First off, disregard the forum poll, the commentary released with the National Post poll proves they are clueless, the spokesperson made the hilarious claim that if...
"If the poll data holds up on election day, the Liberals could clinch a “razor-thin” majority, beating out the NDP by a single seat in the provincial legislature.
The poll projects that the current premier’s party would take 43 seats in the 85-seat house compared to 41 seats for the NDP. These results represent a shift from last week’s projections, which saw the NDP win 44 seats and the Liberals 39."
First off, any party that has even a 2 point lead will have a minimum of a 10 seat majority...National Post and Forum are spinning, in fact the last Forum poll was discredited for a reason, they stacked their poll with Conservative and Liberal voters, they phoned rightwing ridings on a 2-1 margin over leftwing or swing ridings..
http://thetyee.ca/Mediacheck/2013/05/06/BC-Election-Polls/
What you are witnessing people is a hard corporate media game of low-information manipulation..
Of all the polls above the Justason poll is most accurate...
Let`s go through my riding predictions...
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Abbotsford-Mission..... BC Liberal
Abbotsford South......Independent ..Van Dongen will win this riding
Abbotsford West......NDP will come up the middle here..Thanks Moe Gill
Alberni-Pacific Rim...Solid NDP
Boundary-Similkameen....NDP?Liberal..Toss-up
Burnaby-Deer Lake....NDP in a rout...As all 4 Burnaby ridings will go big Orange Star.
Burnaby-Edmonds...NDP
Burnaby-Lougheed...NDP
Burnaby North.........NDP
Cariboo-Chilcotin....NDP
Cariboo North......Independent Bob Simpson win win this.
Chilliwack...........????....NDP might pull this one out...Buy BC is going over well..Still a toss-up.
Chilliwack-Hope....NDP Gwen O`mahoney will indeed hang onto this riding..
Columbia River-Revelstoke....NDP easy win
Comox Valley....NDP with a solid win..Adios Don Mcrae, go back to school.
Coquitlam-Burke Mountain....This will be close, I`m leaning NDP
Coquitlam-Maillardville.....NDP easy win
Cowichan Valley.....Easy NDP win
Delta North.............Easy NDP win
Delta South.....Independent Vicki Huntington wins easy
Esquimalt-Royal Roads....NDP rout
Fort Langley-Aldergrove....Libs Rich Coleman survives, he will quit the Leg within a year
Fraser-Nicola.....Soild NDP
Juan de Fuca.....NDP John Horgan in a cake walk
Kamloops-North Thompson...NDP...Terry Lake is toast,
Kamloops-South Thompson...Toss up...Leaning Lib
Kelowna-Lake Country.....Libs
Kelowna-Mission.....Toss up...NDP might come up the middle
Kootenay East.......Racist Bill Bennett survives, not sure how..Long arms dragging on the pavementville.
Kootenay West....NDP easy win.
Langley.....Libs..Mary Polak will win
Maple Ridge-Mission.....NDP big
Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows...NDP
Nanaimo......NDP Krog wins
Nanaimo-North Cowichan...Another easy NDP win
Nechako Lakes....Toss up leaning Lib
Nelson-Creston....Michelle wins easy for NDP
New Westminster----NDP..All over but the counting
North Coast....NDP easy win
North Island.....NDP hold
North Vancouver-Lonsdale..Toss up leaning Lib
North Vancouver-Seymour.....NDP
Oak Bay-Gordon Head....NDP
Parksville-Qualicum......NDP
Peace River North........Independent
Peace River South.......NDP
Penticton.....................Lib
Port Coquitlam....NDP easy win
Port Moody-Coquitlam.....NDP big
Powell River-Sunshine Coast.....NDP, in da bank
Prince George-Mackenzie.....Toss up..Leaning NDP
Prince George-Valemount.....NDP
Richmond Centre..............Libs
Richmond East........Libs
Richmond-Steveston...Libs
Saanich North and the Islands...NDP
Saanich South.........NDP
Shuswap.................Libs
Skeena.....NDP
Stikine....NDP
Surrey-Cloverdale.....Toss up..leaning Libs
Surrey-Fleetwood.....NDP
Surrey-Green Timbers...NDP
Surrey-Newton......NDP
Surrey-Panorama...Libs
Surrey-Tynehead...NDP
Surrey-Whalley....NDP
Surrey-White Rock....Libs
Vancouver-Fairview....NDP
Vancouver-False Creek....NDP
Vancouver-Fraserview....NDP
Vancouver-Hastings......NDP
Vancouver-Kensington..NDP
Vancouver-Kingsway....Easy NDP win
Vancouver-Langara.....Libs
Vancouver-Mount Pleasant...NDP rout
Vancouver-Point Grey.....NDP
Vancouver-Quilchena....Libs
Vancouver-West End.....NDP
Vernon-Monashee........Toss up, leaning NDP
Victoria-Beacon Hill.....Carole James will win..NDP
Victoria-Swan Lake.....NDP
West Vancouver-Capilano....Libs
West Vancouver-Sea to Sky....Libs
Westside-Kelowna....Libs
_______________
18 BC Liberal seats..
4 independent seats
NDP...63 seats..
Our future and the horizon is looking very bright indeed...
The Straight Goods
Cheers Eyes Wide Open
6 comments:
Thanks for the reassurance, needed that!
I was up late reading the John Doyle report until 2pm. It was a long report, but very interesting. The man is just brilliant!
This a.m. nowhere could I find the report!! Did the Libs block it?
The people of B.C. need to read this. It's the truth and reported without bias, as the newspapers should be doing.
I should have copied it, next time, if there is a next time, I will copy first then read..
Why block it? Are they that scared it would reduce their votes.
The truth will out, I believe in that. B.C. has waited too long....
Bye-bye Christi Clark(e)
The National Post is a pathetic right wing rag...after all it was created by convicted crook Conrad Black. They are doing the same thing with Dix that they have been trying to do to Justin Trudeau. They are faling miserably on both counts. Clueless Christy is toast and King Stephen is next in 2015.
Great work Grant in pointing out the pathetic MSM in this country.
Classic example of how big media plays their silly games is the headline on Globe and Mail. It says " BC NDP widens lead, BUT only just" what the hell is that supposed to mean? When the Libs narrow things they dont say " BC Liberals tighten race, BUT only just"...it becomes "neck and neck". You just want to throw up when you see the Media trying to manipulate elections to go their way. I swear to God if they thought they could get away with it they would start stuffing ballot boxes.
Angus Reid, and Ipsos reid are hanging their reputations on these last polls..They want bragging rights, believe me, it isn`t even close..
http://www.cbc.ca/canada/bcvotes2009/story/2009/05/08/bc-angus-reid-election-poll.html
Angus Reid`s last poll going into the 2009 bc election..
Angus Reid`s numbers were(in above link)just days before the 2009 election.
BC NDP..42%
BC Liberals..44%
Actual final voting percentages from 2009..
BC NDP 42%..
BC Liberals..45%
Cheers
When the BC Liberals are afraid they won't win, they cheat.
Campbell twice lied and cheated to win his elections. 1.The BCR wasn't for sale. 2.The HST wasn't on his radar either. That's only a drop in a rain barrel, for Campbell's treachery.
Nor do we forget Harper's part, in the destruction of BC. The BC Liberals, work for Harper.
The Campbell/Clark BC Liberals, have been a party from hell.
I feel comfortable with Adrian Dix. You have no idea what that means to many, of we weary BC citizens.
Has anyone seen the post on, The Common Sense Canadian? That tells the truth on, Christy's true position of her views, on the Enbridge pipeline. As usual, Christy has lied her face off, to the people of this Province.
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