This article originally appeared at The Straight Goods on May 8th/2013.....In light of the below post and verifying information uncovered by Focus Magazine, compiled and written by David Broadband this article deserved a re-posting.
Written by Grant G
There is something seriously wrong with Christy Clark and the BC Liberals LNG superpower plans, as you know I have been skeptical of this scheme, especially on the scale the BC Liberals have advertised..
The Liberal Government $40 million dollar ad blitz we`ve endured the last 18 months, these ads talked of not $billions in revenue but $trillions, in the throne speech and in the BC Liberal election platform LNG has been all they talked about..
There was talk about LNG royalties eliminating the debt, eliminating sales tax and creating a prosperity fund worth $hundreds of $billions as a legacy for future generations, but even more than that was the BC Liberals telling all of British Columbia that this LNG industry would create hundreds of thousands of jobs..
Here is the exact wording from the BC Liberal 2013 election platform.
"LNG facilities are currently proposed by business groups that include some of the world`s biggest energy companies-Shell, Imperial, Chevron, British Gas, Petronas, SK & and ES of South Korea, Inpex and the Chinese National Offshore Oil Corporation, to name some of the major players, it`s no fantasy.
The projects mean 39,000 jobs to British Columbia during construction with another 75,000 full time jobs created once in operation. We can create 1 $trillion dollars in economic activity and create the BC Prosperity fund with $100 billion over 30 years.
An opportunity this good faces lots of global competition. Premier Christy Clark and Today`s BC Liberals have worked diligently to enable LNG as an economic generator for decades to come."
(BC Liberal platform at below link)
Do you see those job numbers in the BC Liberal election platform...
"39,000 jobs to British Columbia during construction with another 75,000 full time jobs created once in operation"
How many LNG plants are being proposed, we have heard these Liberals say 4 LNG plants, 6 LNG plants, 8 LNG plants...
Well, there is an article tonight in the Vancouver Sun, the BG Group(British Gas) have announced they are going to the planning stage, then if that goes well they will apply for an environmental assessment, no they haven`t made any firm commitments, it`s still very early in the process, they mention something about, if everything goes well they will start assembly of their LNG plant in 2016..
But what is absolutely startling is the honesty in the article, honesty from a major world class energy company..
What British Gas has stated in the article is this...
"The BG Group has filed plans for a liquefied natural gas plant at Prince Rupert that would consume the equivalent to all of the province’s current production of natural gas and almost all the energy generated by BC Hydro’s proposed Site C dam to produce it."
Do you see that? This one LNG plant will consume all the present natural gas production in British Columbia, that`s not the scary part, what is stated in the article puts "Christy Clark and Today`s BC Liberal`s" jobs number to shame, this article makes a complete mockery of what the Liberals are stating in their 2013 election platform..
"BG intends to build a facility on Ridley Island capable of producing 21 million tonnes of LNG a year. Called Prince Rupert LNG, it would be built overseas in modules and shipped to Prince Rupert for assembly.
Even so, the plant would create 3,500 jobs during construction,
250 permanent direct jobs and another 250 spinoff jobs.
BG says it is planning to build it in two phases, beginning in 2016.
The first phase — two seven-million-tonne-a-year processing units, or trains — is to be completed by 2021"
Do you see that?....3500 temporary construction jobs, 250 full-time jobs with 250 full-time spinoff jobs...
Well well well, let`s take the 6 LNG export plants scenario, first off, the plants are built in Asia, shipped here and assembled, that`s a problem, but the bigger problem is the job numbers..This British Gas project is a biggy, so big it will not only take all our present natural gas production it will also require all the power generated by the proposed $12 billion dollar public taxpayer project known as Site C Dam..
"The scope of the project is huge: All three trains would consume about 3.3 billion cubic feet of gas a day, which is the equivalent of B.C.’s current natural gas production. The plant will require 800 megawatts of energy to run refrigeration compressors and to run the facility. By comparison, the Site C dam would produce 900 megawatts"
Let`s go with the 6 LNG export plants scenario...If we extrapolate the job numbers from this one super big LNG plant...
"the plant would create 3,500 jobs during construction,
250 permanent direct jobs and another 250 spinoff jobs."
We are talking about 21,000 temporary construction jobs if all 6 LNG export plants were built at the same time with a total of 1500 full-time jobs and another 1500 hundred full-time spinoff jobs, that is if all 6 plants were built..Someone is zooming us British Columbians..
Let me remind you what is stated in the BC Liberal election platform on the subject of LNG..
" The projects mean 39,000 jobs to British Columbia during construction with another 75,000 full time jobs created once in operation. We can create 1 $trillion dollars in economic activity and create the BC Prosperity fund with $100 billion over 30 years."
So the BC Liberals have doubled the amount of construction jobs, however, where according to British Gas, a mere 250 full-time jobs plus another 250 full-time spinoff jobs will be created by this one super large LNG export plant....If you times that number by 6(as in 6 LNG export plants)...That totals 3000 full-time jobs while the BC Liberals are claiming in their 2013 election platform that these LNG plants will create..
"with another 75,000 full time jobs created once in operation"
Where are those jobs, who`s zooming who, yes there will be increased natural gas drilling but that process is..Drill a well and cap it, move on and repeat...I can assure you there will not be 10,000 natural gas drillers required for each LNG plant..
6 LNG export plants, 3000 full-time workers, to come up with a 75,000 full-time job number they would have you believe that each LNG plant needs 12,000 natural gas drillers, the numbers are absurd..
And there is another problem, we can`t build 6 Site C dams, that would cost $70 billion dollars, $70 billion taxpayer dollars, and so that means these LNG export plants would have to burn natural gas to produce electricity..And that would create this problem..
"The B.C. government anticipates this province’s abundant gas reserves will be sufficient to meet that demand and has forecast that natural gas production will increase to eight to nine billion cubic feet a day by 2020.
But questions remain about the amount of water required to produce that much gas. Further, the province does not have the hydro capacity nor the transmission line infrastructure to meet the industry’s massive appetite for power.
In its project description, BG states that it intends to burn natural gas to produce the 800 megawatts its facility will require. Natural gas is preferred over electric-powered refrigeration compressors because LNG plants require a highly reliable power source."
“You are talking about four times the acid rain, the CO2 produced in all British Columbia from natural gas, being produced up here in the Northwest. That has got us spooked really bad.
“We don’t think British Columbians are going to buy that. We are certainly not buying it.”
So let`s breakdown this fantasy LNG plan...First off the modules are built in Asia, we merely assemble, ...Second..There are temporary construction jobs but the likelihood is, no more than three LNG export plants will be built...9000 temporary constructions jobs, where do those workers go after that, we can`t build 100 plants, we haven`t got the gas, the water, or electricity..
The amount of full-time jobs created by these LNG plants is a drop in the proverbial bucket......3 LNG plants would create a total of about 1500 full-time jobs, that`s counting spinoff jobs...If 6 plants were built we would create 3000 full-time jobs, however we would would either have to dam up all our rivers or blow any CO2 targets out of the water..
But the biggest concern for me is the lies, we could bugger up our ground water and dam all our rivers for a few thousand jobs, and it won`t be sustainable, these fracked natural gas wells deplete very quickly,
Here is what an expert has to say, a man with 30 years of experience..
David Hughes, in a special to the Tyee...
Since 1990, says Hughes, the number of operating wells in the U.S. has increased by 90 per cent while the average productivity of those wells has declined by 38 per cent.
The latest panaceas championed by industry and media talking heads are too expensive and will deplete too rapidly to provide either energy security or independence for the United States, concludes the 62-year-old geologist who worked for Natural Resources Canada for 32 years as a coal and gas specialist.
To Hughes shale gas and shale oil represent a temporary bubble in production that will soon burst due to rapid depletion rates that have only recently been tallied.
Taken together shale gas and shale oil wells "will require about 8,600 wells per year at a cost of over $48 billion to offset declines."
"The idea that the United States might be exporting 12 per cent of its natural gas from shale is just a pipe dream," Hughes, a resident of Cortes Island in British Columbia, told The Tyee.
Drilling into a mirage
For starters shale gas and oil don't resemble a manufacturing process.
Companies such as Encana claimed in 2006 that they had turned natural gas drilling into a bountiful factory process with so-called "resource plays."
After drilling a landscape and pulverizing deep formations with high volume hydraulic fracturing the company claimed it could produce predictable and reliable volumes of hydrocarbons across the landscape.
"But geology matters," says Hughes. In every shale play there are sweet spots and unproductive areas and marginal ones. In fact 88 per cent of all shale gas production flows from six of 20 active plays in the United States while 81 per cent of shale oil comes from two of 21 plays.
Moreover shale gas and oil fields deplete so quickly that they resemble financial treadmills. In order to maintain constant flows from a play industry must replace 30 to 50 per cent of declining production with more wells.
Recovery rates from shale fields are also dismal. Conventional drilling, which uses less energy, often captured up to 70 per cent of the gas in the ground. But shale gas barely averages 10 per cent despite deploying more horsepower and water over greater landscapes.
Nor is shale gas long-lasting. Industry promised that shale gas plays would produce for up to 40 years but the Haynesville, a top U.S. producer, reached maturity in five years and is already in a state of decline, reports Hughes. "Nobody had heard about Haynesville until 2009."
"That's the Achilles heel of shale gas. You need a lot of wells and environmental collateral damage and infrastructure to grow supply."
Who is being played here, the British Columbia people, the current Government of British Columbia?, because I can assure you someone is getting played, that article in the Vancouver Sun lays it out pretty clearly, yes British Gas is in only the planning stage, it`s years away, however we need honest answers as to how many real full-time jobs will these LNG plants create, and at what cost, how much water is required, how many natural gas well are to be drilled, how many rivers to be damned....
From what I have seen, and read, the BC Liberal LNG job numbers are bullshit, a mere mirage.
Tell me Christy Clark..
Who is lying about the amount of full-time jobs..
You or British Gas..?
My money is on you Christy Clark.
1500 loaded LNG super-tankers on our coast, along with cruise ships, ferries and oil-tankers, while acid rain and fallout chokes our coastal forests or all our rivers are damned up, say goodbye to the Wild Salmon and all the wildlife the Salmon`s life cycle feeds, ground water contamination and no guarantees of any profits for anybody but the giant energy companies...
(P.S....Advance polls are open today, go vote for someone, anyone, our ancestors fought for that right, don`t take it for granted)
The Straight Goods
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