Thursday, June 2, 2011
What If the BC Liberals Win the HST Referendum?
41% to 39%....The numbers were very close, however, anyone who has followed BC Polls can recognize the trends, Mustel Polls (Evi Mustel and BC Liberal Joan Mcntire from the north shore are ex-business partners)..Mustel polls are the worst, Mustel on average give the BC Liberals a 10% to 15% advantage every time, it`s only when an election is coming soon that Mustel poll numbers and the BC Liberal lead fall, it`s all about influencing the voters, Ipsos Reid polls(A partner of the BC Liberals TV station Global news, yes they have a working partnership)...Ipsos Reid polls do the same, Ipsos Reid polls are notorious for overstating the BC Liberals lead by at least 7% percentage above the true numbers, and like the Mustel polls when the election date is a mere few days away both Ipsos Reid and Mustel polls bring their gap down, this is done to maintain some, I repeat some credibility after the election...
So when the Last Ipsos Reid poll has the NDP and BC Liberals in a virtual dead heat I am pleased, I immediately add 7% percentage points to the NDP and subtract that amount from the BC Liberals....That puts the NDP at 46% and the BC Liberals 34%....
Still with polls the Vancouver sun had a poll done about the HST and they were calling it 50-50....A dead heat...Well...What if?
First off, I don`t believe for a moment that it is a dead heat, I believe that the group to extinguish the HST is much larger than those who want to retain the dreaded tax, and that makes for some very interesting scenarios, British Columbians as a whole are roughly 80% opposed to oil tankers on our precious one of a kind northern coast, again this result creates many more interesting possibilities, so again I say...What if?
Christy Clark has chosen oil tankers and pipelines over the wishes of the majority of BCers, Christy Clark wants environmental assessments gutted, she is in strong favour of oil tankers despite the risk, so what do the polls have anything to do with that?...Well here`s the deal....The last few HST polls have been misleading and unreliable, both Global TV and the Vancouver sun WANT the HST because of their corporate masters....So what if...
We all know how polls are unreliable and easily manipulated, we also know that we can`t trust Elections BC and the mail out ballot, we can`t trust Craig James and we certainly can`t trust the BC Liberals, I believe the polls are being manipulated on the HST, and even with the manipulation the most the Government can convince to accept the HST is 50%..MAYBE, if you believe the polls....So what if?....During a regular election when people go to a polling station and real public citizens count ballots it`s hard if not impossible to cheat the system, so in the event of a regular election, after the election one side wins and one loses, it doesn`t matter after a general election who or what polling outfit was playing fast and loose with their results, it doesn`t matter then....So what if?
So what if through manipulation and getting out the vote plus fear mongering the HST referendum is won by the BC Liberals 51% to 49%....Let`s just say they win through guile and or through a corrupt mail-in ballot?..What if?
If there was manipulation, if the numbers don`t represent the truth, that HST win could turn into such public anger and uproar that the BC Liberals will be blown out of the water....Let`s examine some basic facts, Christy Clark and the liars since the last election will not have won over any voters who voted for the NDP...The last election the NDP had 42% of the vote too the BC Liberals 45% of the vote...Not a total of the eligible voters but a total of who turned out to vote, as you know a mere 55% of BCers voted in the last provincial election....The Greens accounted for about 6% of the BC vote total in our last election, with Christy Clark wanting to destroy fish lake, in favour of both oil tankers and the Enbridge pipeline will certainly deny her any of that vote, after all, like the HST 80% of BC Families are strongly opposed to oil tankers and Enbridge...
Now add in John Cummins and the BC Conservative party, I presume if they run good candidates they too will receive at least 6% of the vote and probably more.
So what if?...What if the HST referendum is won 51% to 49 %....If that happens through pressure and guile all Crusty Clark and the BC Liberals will have done is solidify their opposition, and considering all the other lies and scandals that are brewing, Gordon Campbell and all the BC Liberals conned BCers with $4 billion dollar fudge budget lie, it makes Glen Clark`s budget look like pocket change....And how can we forget the tragedy of the theft of our railway and the Basi/Virk $6 million dollar cover-up, there is also the teachers dispute, closed schools, school crowding nightmare in Surrey, our paramedics, our courts, the firing of needed sheriffs, the BC Place boondoggle, cuts to gaming grants and the shuttering of 55 group homes, the list is endless, so what if?
Christy Clark and PAB might think they can bully a win with the HST but at what cost?.....They may win the battle but they will lose the war, for the BC Liberals can`t afford to even lose 2% of their vote total, with an HST rammed down our throats, pipelines and oil tankers, crimes against humanity, crimes against the public, BC Hydro gouging rates to pay IPP contracts, ferry fares on the rise and even today Blair Leckstrom stated that Translink can add another brand new carbon tax to be put on top of our existing carbon tax all to be given too Translink, and there is also another year delay in the nevergreen line.
So Christy Clark and her gang of liars might want to think twice about manipulating the public with polls on the refendum, the Liberals might think twice about the prospects of winning a 50/50 referendum, the results will solidify 50% of the electorate to be 100% opposed to the Christy Clark Liberals....For even after the referendum the jobs will continue to disappear, prices and fuel will continue to rise, prices won`t fall and Translink will come a digging for money, ferry rates rose yesterday despite a phony review under way...
So my question to you Christy Clark and your advisors, at what cost would an HST referendum win be, how many enemies will you create because I guarantee that none of those voting against the HST will ever vote for the Liberals, so now not only will you alienate the Greens with oil tanker and pipeline promotion, not only will you solidify everyone who votes against the HST you will also drive voters to John Cummins and the BC Conservative party, and considering how popular Stephen Harper is among many disenfranchised BC Liberals, well, they will be quite comfortable with John Cummins, ....You BC Liberals can no longer claim to be good fiscal managers, the three largest deficits in BC History, you took our debt from $28 billion dollar to over $60 billion dollars including another $billion dollar deficit this year and that is after you took $1.6 billion dollars from Ottawa and stole $950 million dollars from ICBC....So What If?
So what if you squeak out a victory on the HST referendum, methinks an HST referendum win will be the death knell for the BC Liberals.
And it couldn`t happen to a better group of criminals!
Be careful what you wish for Christy cluck cluck Clark, phony polls on the HST will lead to voter anger and solidify your enemies, the Ipsos Reid poll on the HST is skewed, as is all their polls on the BC Liberals, lastly, the Ipsos Reid poll on the HST was conducted immediately after the press release and in that Ipsos Reid poll the pollsters actually explained the changes to the HST but were very fuzzy on the time-line of events, what you had was a polling company explaining potential HST changes in the future.....Ipsos Reid Polling conducts a poll where THEY explain Clark`s way off in the future fake HST fix, the public will not have had a chance to absorb the numbers, when they realize the fix is in 2014, when they realize they have been lied too, when they realize the story keeps changing, when they figure out a revenue neutral advertised tax turned into a $850 million dollar cash grab, when they find out no cheque is being sent until late this year or ever...Well, I believe that Christy Clark is so hell-bent on winning the HST referendum and BEATING the NDP she has taken her eye off the prize, the general election, that is the fatal flaw that Christy Clark can`t remove from her make-up, for Clark it`s all about beating the NDP.
The way I see this referendum, Christy Clark and the Liberals lose either way, if she loses the referendum she has a duty to remove the HST, and if Clark goes ugly, plays games with the public and stalls without bringing an end to this HST fiasco her election chances die.
What if?.....Pleasant dreams Cluck Cluck
The Straight Goods
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