About Me-email is... grant.go@aol.com

My photo
garden bay, west coast, Canada
persistent digging,never say never

Friday, December 23, 2011

Inside the numbers, NRG Research Edition


 Another phony poll released today, this one from NRG research......

Here are the results.BC NDP 36%..BC Liberal 32%..John Cummins 19%


Also to note, this company doesn`t say who commissioned the poll.


They ask but one question in this poll, now for what I know about polling this type of question tends to skew the results.....

Here is the one question they ask...


"If an election for your provincial MLA were held tomorrow, would you vote for Christy Clark`s BC Liberal candidate, Adrian Dix`s BC NDP candidate or John Cummins` BC Conservative candidate?"

______________________________________________________

So there`s the question and up top are the (over-all % numbers) for the Province...

But if we look into the results from different parts of the province you soon realize the poll is bunk...

Overall----BC NDP 36%..BC Liberal 32%..BC Cons 19%...Undecided 13%.

Island and North coast---BC NDP 39%..BC Liberals 31%...John Cummins 19%...Undecided 11%.

Interior---BC NDP 42%...BC Liberal 28%...John Cummins 20%...Undecided 11%.

Check out those numbers, first off, John Cummins is stuck at 20% in all areas, that`s consistent with most other polling outfits, did you notice how the BC NDP have a rather hefty lead on Vancouver island and the North Coast, that is expected, but those numbers for the Island, the NDP`s stronghold, is below their historic, below their NORMAL numbers for that area, even in the last 2009 election the BC NDP blew away the number this polling firm has posted(39%) for the island.

That number sounds ridiculously low for the NDP stronghold, ...

And here`s the proof that the number is wrong....Check out the interior numbers...

BC NDP at 42%...BC Liberals at 28%..BC Con John Cummins at 20%...


So are you telling me the NDP are stronger in the interior than the Isalnd?, the BC NDP have never faired well in the interior, it`s usually riding specific, but here in this poll in the land of Conservatism including many many Alberta retirees is where the NRG poll gives the NDP its largest lead...


Full stop!!!!.....If indeed the NDP have 42% support in the interior, they surely must have 57 to 60% support on the island and North Coast.


There is one area of the province left, the lower mainland, look at those above numbers, how could the NDP be at 36% overall and the BC Liberals be at 32% overall when in those 2 areas the BC NDP have a ....14% lead in one(BC Liberal stronghold) and a  mere 8% percentage point lead in the other(BC NDP stronghold)

The numbers don`t add up do they?...Unless, unless the lower mainland numbers are breaking big for the BC Liberals....

Here is the final set of numbers..

Lower Mainland--BC Liberals 36%....BC NDP 33%...John Cummins 18%..Undecided 14%..


So there you have it, according to these clowns(NRG), they would have you believe that the NDP have dropped support in their island strongholds but gained support in BC Liberal stronghold land, Alberta retiree land, it`s laughable to believe that the NDP are stronger in the interior than they are on Vancouver island...

And for NRG to think that Christy Clark has a lead in the Lower Mainland is equally absurd...

Back to the question...No where does the polling outfit say they rotated the question, meaning Christy Clark`s name was mentioned first everytime..

Also, who is Christy Clark?...Answer..Photo-op Queen, her name is on every newspaper headline, every radio report and fluff n puff photo-op...

I`m talking about NRG using name recognition to affect and deliver a different result..."Christy  Clark`s BC Liberal candidate,"


The question should be ....Would you vote for a BC Liberal candidate...A BC NDP candidate...or a BC CONSERVATiVE candidate

Here`s the NRG poll.

I suggest the NDP support is indeed at 42% in the interior.... 55% on Vancouver island....44% in the lower mainland....

BC NDP, overall....48%


BC Liberals, overall....25%

The Straight Goods

Cheers Eyes Wide Open 





4 comments:

Anonymous said...

"I don`t know where to start,"
Well, you may not know where to start, but you sure finish with a bang. Let me be the first to wish you a Happy Christmas and many happy returns. You are one of the few media outlets I always look forward to going to.
You may not know it, but you are in a league of your own! (like Dungeness crabs are in a league of their own taste wise, some people prefer lobster but I always put it down to the fact that maybe they have never had BC crab straight out of the pot.) You have a better grasp of politics and facts than most of the regular media (all of the regular media to tell the truth, which regularly promote themselves and promenade before their bosses without saying one damn thing) and you give us a view of British Columbia which nobody else has. I get facts and leads from you which I wouldn't get from anybody else. (I also shamelessly promote your site in 'comments' on other sites - so if you get a rush from maybe an American site, blame it on me.) Don't mean to sound mushy, but you are a definite asset to all the people who live here, whether they know it or not.

Merry Christmas, Grant!

PS I also used to live on the coast, and in my days there we just gathered up whatever we wanted and had it for dinner. There were no companies scanning the coast for the last profit - we all ate what we pleased and left the rest for somebody else. Nobody ever took it all. Merry Christmas Grant!

Anonymous said...

I think if, Christy really thought she was up in the polls, she would have called for an election. Did I read, that Christy has allowed another run of the river project? More devastation of our eco systems.

I don't know a single soul, that has any use for Harper nor the Campbell/Clark BC Liberals. I think Harper has cost Canada, the friendship of most of the other country's around the globe. Campbell is the worst, most corrupt and foul premier in the history of this nation.
Pity Campbell didn't come back to BC, for his OBC. He missed the welcoming committee, of the BC people.

This world would be a much better place, without snakes like Harper and Campbell.

Elwood said...

Grant, why don't you file a press release and tell the ENTIRE MSM what this phoney poll is really all about so that the public gets the whole truth and nothing but the truth????

Otherwise everyone will get fooled and sucked in again by this criminal gov't and their obvious MSM cronies!!!

Grant G said...

Sorry about the link to the NRG poll of December 2011/..It went dead, NRG research didn`t want anyone seeing their methodology

A friend leaked me the PDF of their last poll...And, I just scoured NRG`s site, nowhere is the methodology for their latest February 15th poll listed, even the poll isn`t there..

NRG are sleazy bastards...

Their customers are..BCLC..FORTIS..BC Hydro...ICBC..Can you say Government pimps, how sad the Vancouver Sun promotes these bastards, and BC Fiberals!

Cheers